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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)
Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Shenna Bellows wins
Shenna Bellows wins 20%
En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

38,9 €

Liquidité

36 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

19.0% / 20.0%

Spread

5.3%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

10 juin 26, 15:003 nov. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Shenna Bellows wins20%

Règles

If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.