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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

2.7% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection12mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Graham Platner, ≥50%
Graham Platner, ≥50% 99%+2.7%
En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

172,9 €

Liquidité

1,2 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

99.0% / 99.3%

Spread

0.3%

Spread serré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

1 avr. 26, 17:009 juin 27, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Graham Platner, 10-20%
Graham Platner, 10-20%
0%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
Graham Platner, 30-40%
0%
Janet Mills wins
Janet Mills wins
0%

Résultat choisi

Graham Platner, ≥50%99%

Règles

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

If the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Janet Mills minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Janet Mills minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Janet Mills if Janet Mills wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Janet Mills loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Janet Mills wins, or the electoral votes received by Janet Mills minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Janet Mills does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.