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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

2.0% (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection12mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%
Lindsey Graham, 25-30% 99%+2.0%
En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

66,5 €

Liquidité

351,4 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

98.0% / 99.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread serré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

8 juin 26, 17:009 juin 27, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Lindsey Graham, 25-30%99%

Règles

If the margin of victory for Lindsey Graham in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary falls within 0% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lindsey Graham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham wins, or the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

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Pamela Evette, 0-5%: 98%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

If the margin of victory for Lindsey Graham in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary falls within 0% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lindsey Graham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham wins, or the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.