Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Turek 20–30% 99%+0.8%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
4,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
0.1% / 64.5%
Spread
64400.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+31.4%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
2 juin 26, 16:002 juin 26, 16:00
Tendances
99%
50%
34%
32%
10%
1%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
8.0%11mo
-8.0%1%
+11.0%99%
-1.0%2%
+5 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total314,6 €
Volume 24h77,7 €
KALSHIRègles
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.