KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before 2027 1.9%
Before 2027 1.9%Qualité du marché
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Intérêt ouvert
271,7 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Before 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
31 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC2 janv. 27, 14:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Avant la clôture: 2% ·
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz in jail by which date?
PolymarketTim Walz charged by which date?
PolymarketWill Tim Walz resign by which date?
PolymarketGarcía out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date?
PolymarketJared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
KalshiRègles
If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABC News AustraliaBloomberg NewsCNBCCNNDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFox NewsMSNBCOffice of the Governor of MinnesotaTim WalzPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostBBC
- Tim Walz must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? · Before Sep 1, 2026 50%