KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2027 4%-0.1pt
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
883,3 €
Liquidité
249,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.3% / 5.5%
Écart
1.2 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
31 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC2 janv. 27, 14:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Walz resign by which date?
PolymarketWho will be the next Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Walz run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsGarcía out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date?
PolymarketKathy Hochul to finish her term as governor of New York?
FutuurRègles
If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABC News AustraliaBloomberg NewsCNBCCNNDeutsche WelleFinancial TimesFox NewsMSNBCofficial government records and registriesTim WalzPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostBBC
- Tim Walz must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? · Before Sep 1, 2026 50%
Marchés ouverts
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
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- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
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- Next French Presidential Election
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2027 à 4% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless.