KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 nov. 2026, 00:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2027 6.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027 6.5%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
121,8 €
Intérêt ouvert
898,4 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard21 mai 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Michael Bennet elected governor of Colorado?
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
KalshiGarcía out as Governor of Nuevo León by which date?
PolymarketWill Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Jared PolisThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Governor of ColoradoCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Jared Polis must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Jared Polis leaves as Governor of Colorado before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.