KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: LA-01 (99%)
Résolu: 4 nov. 2026, 23:43
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
LA-01
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
—
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 10 nov. 2026, 00:54 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
LA-061%
LA-0298%
LA-0499%
LA-01Gagné
LA-03Perdu
LA-04Perdu
LA-02Perdu
LA-05Perdu
LA-06Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Règles archivées au niveau de l'événement. Les conditions exactes de chaque résultat ne sont plus disponibles.
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 1st Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Louisiana Secretary of State
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
