Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleCA-22 30.2%En tête parmi 15 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète17 févr. 26, 22:15 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any of these ‘solid Republican’ house races?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms Elections
- Resolves based on the relative order of the time the AP calls each race: Last (slowest) resolves to 100% 2nd slowest resolves to 80% ... 5th slowest resolves to 20% 6th slowest or faster resolves to 0%
- A race is considered called when the AP projects a winner for the seat (by the timestamp to the minute on the AP elections results page).
- Runoff elections, recounts, RCV, and legal challenges to ballots are all valid reasons for a delay.
- Only districts listed here as options will be considered when determining the relative order of the last races to be called.
- If the last race to be called is not listed in this market, it will not be considered for resolution.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms ?
- Manifold Markets cote CA-22 à 30% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms sera-t-il résolu ?
- Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Rank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms Elections