Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
California 9 99%En tête parmi 68 options
California 9 99%Prévisionnistes
112
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
8 févr. 25, 02:10 UTC2 déc. 26, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsWhat % of the vote will the Republican get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsRank the Last Called U.S. House Races in the 2026 Midterms
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any of these ‘solid Republican’ house races?
Manifold MarketsHow many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?
FutuurLouisiana: Which House races will be won outright?
KalshiRègles
Each option provisionally resolves once both the New York Times and Decision Desk HQ (or, if those become defunct, other reliable sources) call the race and do not retract the call for 24 hours.
- Final resolution will be according to certified results.
- Whether a candidate is "a Democrat" is determined by the party affiliation displayed on the ballot (being a Dem as one party on a fusion ticket counts.)
