When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Prix enregistré
Before Jul 1, 2027 55.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Before Jul 1, 2027 55.5%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
24,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Écart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
27 juil. 26, 17:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jul 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
KalshiWhich Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris this year?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be elected governor of California in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRègles
If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Kamala Harris
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
