KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Apr 1, 2027 97%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
105,1 €
Liquidité
1,6 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.1 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
7 avr. 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Apr 1, 2027 à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.