KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 4.2% 27.1%+8.0ptEn tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,3 k €
Liquidité
28,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
10.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
10 avr. 26, 23:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.2% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.3% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.4% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.5% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.6% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.7% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54.5%
- No change-2.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 94,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 646,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 92,2 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting54.6%
- September Meeting-1.0pt45.4%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes70.3%
- No29.7%
- Volume total
- 7,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 24,6 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 382,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 24,3 k €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation US - Monthly
- 0.4%+3.5pt50%
- 0.3%-1.0pt33.6%
- ≥0.5%-0.5pt12.5%
+6 résultats de plus
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get this year?
- PPI YoY in August
- CPI-U index in August
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 3.2% in August 2026?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How high will CPI get this year? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 4.2% à 27% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand How high will CPI get this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How high will CPI get this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment How high will CPI get this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.2% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.