KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 88%
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
129,6 €
Liquidité
5,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
8.4% / 11.0%
Écart
2.6 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
3 déc. 25, 23:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If a U.S. airline begins offering a direct flight to Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Announcements that it will begin offering direct flights within the year is also encompassed.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 473 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a U.S. airline begins offering a direct flight to Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.