KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.0% / 4.5%
Écart
0.5 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
9 sept. 25, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans hold a midterm convention?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
KalshiWho will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention?
KalshiHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsUnlikely Democrats to hold office by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If a pre-midterm DNC convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a pre-midterm DNC convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.