KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 99%+0.2pt
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
258,1 €
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
94.0% / 99.8%
Écart
5.8 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
9 sept. 25, 14:00 UTC3 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats hold a midterm convention?
KalshiWho will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention?
KalshiHow many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27)
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Will Non-Republicans hold at least 54% of House seats on any day by July 31, 2027? (7/31/27)
Manifold MarketsRègles
If a pre-midterm GOP convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Republicans hold a midterm convention? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Republicans hold a midterm convention? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Republicans hold a midterm convention? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Republicans hold a midterm convention? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a pre-midterm GOP convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.