KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Ted Cruz 98%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,2 k €
Liquidité
30 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
2 sept. 26, 03:00 UTC12 sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
KalshiWill Republicans hold a midterm convention?
KalshiWill Democrats hold a midterm convention?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If the named outcome speaks as part of official programming at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES.
- A person speaks at the convention only if they personally deliver attributable spoken remarks as part of official Republican Midterm Convention programming at American Airlines Center on September 9 or 10, 2026.
- Live podium remarks, an official panel, an introduction, an in-program interview or moderated discussion, and an official prerecorded speech segment qualify.
- Attendance, a silent stage appearance, being mentioned or shown in an image or b-roll, an outside media interview, a rally, a fundraiser, or an unofficial side event does not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention? ?
- Kalshi cote Ted Cruz à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention? doit être résolu le 12 septembre 2026.
- Comment Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome speaks as part of official programming at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention, then the market resolves to Yes.