KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 05:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
74.0% / 82.0%
Écart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
20 août 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only reporting from the European Commission qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Applications must be open on the European Union's own official ETIAS platform, and a limited or phased opening counts provided any eligible traveler can apply.
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An announced future start date, including one set by decision in the Official Journal Testing, or a pilot restricted to carriers, staff or officials Applications collected by a commercial or third-party website The later date on which an ETIAS becomes required for entry
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 617,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 821,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 107,7 k €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt78.4%
- SPD-1.0pt21.6%
- CDU0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
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- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.