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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?
Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionEuropeChessSports6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 10%+1.0%
Qualite du marche

49 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

3,6 €

Liquidité

101,7 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

9.6% / 9.7%

Spread

1.0%

Spread serré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

18 oct. 25, 14:001 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes10%

Règles

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.