KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 85%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
13.0% / 16.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
12 sept. 25, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Spain snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketGreek snap election scheduled in 2026?
PolymarketWill Spain announce a snap election in 2026?
KalshiWill Turkey announce a snap election in 2026?
KalshiNext General Election - Snap 2027 Election
SmarketsIf Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBBCThe GuardianFinancial Times
- A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will France announce a snap election? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will France announce a snap election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will France announce a snap election? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will France announce a snap election? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.