KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%
Qualite du marche
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
387,4 €
Liquidité
13 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 3.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
11 août 26, 21:3011 sept. 26, 12:25
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used.
- Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.
- For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-3.0pt67.3%
- 25 bps increase+3.5pt31.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.2pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 39,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 3,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+7.0pt56%
- No-7.0pt44%
- Volume total
- 6,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 146,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+4.5pt33%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause-6.5pt64.7%
- Pause–Pause–Cut1%
- Other+7.5pt34.3%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 106,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6 k €
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 47,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- CPI in August
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 97% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? doit être résolu le 11 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will core CPI be above headline CPI in August 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.