PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
3.3% 77.5%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,7 k €
Liquidité
10,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
2.0 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Variation 7j
+28.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
31 juil. 26, 23:4326 août 26, 13:30
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 36,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 6,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 64,4 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 106,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 45,6 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Core PCE YoY - July 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote 3.3% à 77% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Core PCE YoY - July 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026 doit être résolu le 26 août 2026.
- Comment Core PCE YoY - July 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.