KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Maintain current rate (1%)
Résolu: 23 juil. 2026, 13:51
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Provenance du règlement
- Résultat en vigueur
- Maintain current rate
- Enregistré
- 27 juil. 2026, 05:43
- Observations
- 1
- Révisions
- 0
- Méthode
- resolution_watch
Probabilité implicite actuelleHike 1-25bps 90.5%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,2 k €
Liquidité
7,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 7.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 jours
Obsolète2 juin 26, 17:0023 juil. 26, 12:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Hike 1-25bps95%
Maintain current rate1%
0.9%
4.8%
90.5%
0.9%
2.9%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Hike 1-25bps
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 95% | — | 2,2 k € | 7,1 k € | il y a 4 jours | |
 PolymarketLa plus active71% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 12,6 k € | 0 € | il y a 3 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
South African Reserve Bank decision in July?
93.5 ptsFermés
Résolu
No Change (100%)
+99.4pt100%
-1.5pt0%
-0.3pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
27 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquidité
Volume total38,1 k €
Volume 24h12,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$2.6k2 juil.22j de données23 juil.
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POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).