PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle25 bps decrease 80%+0.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
80 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
2,8 k €
Liquidité
33,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
15.6% / 16.6%
Spread
6.4%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
-1.2%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
29 avr. 26, 23:574 août 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
25 bps decrease80%
Comparer les plateformes· 25 bps decrease
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 80% | — | 2,8 k € | 33,9 k € | il y a 4 minutes | |
 Kalshi85% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 81% | — | 1,1 k € | 15,7 k € | il y a 24 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in August
6.0%10j
-6.0%81%
-3.0%16%
1%
+4 résultats de plus
79 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité moyenne
Volume total23,8 k €
Volume 24h1,1 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$3.1k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
34,7 €Oui: 21%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Lisa Cook departure announced?
0 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
0 €Cut >25bps: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August
403 €No change: 65%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Interest rates above 10% before 2030?
392,5 €Oui: 17.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Bank of England decision in July?
92,3 €No change: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Crypto market breakout could accelerate as AI trade cools, analyst saysCointelegraphCrypto market breakout could accelerate as AI trade cools, analyst saysCointelegraph
BIS warns stablecoins could weaken capital controls in emerging marketsCointelegraph
Bitcoin nears seven-week high as stocks ignore Iran strikes, Trump 10% tariff plansCointelegraph
US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).