KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleCut 25bps 72%+5.0%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
127,6 €
Liquidité
10,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
72.0% / 73.0%
Spread
1.4%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
17 juin 26, 23:155 août 26, 21:29
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Cut 25bps72%
Comparer les plateformes· Cut 25bps
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketLa plus active | 68% | — | 2,2 k € | 47,6 k € | il y a 7 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | 72% | — | 127,6 € | 10,8 k € | il y a 3 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
2.5%26j
-2.5%68%
+1.1%29%
-0.3%2%
+2 résultats de plus
80 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total97,4 k €
Volume 24h2,2 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of Cut more than 50bp at August Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1462 juil.7j de données8 juil.
Marchés Associés
Bank of Brazil decision in September?
324,3 €No Change: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of England decision in September?
7,4 k €No change: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in July?
3,1 k €No change: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of Japan rate decision in July
2 k €Hike more than 25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
European Central Bank rate decision in July
1,2 k €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August
630,2 €Maintain current rate: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of Cut more than 50bp at August Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).