PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle25 bps hike 61%+23.0%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
74,8 €
Liquidité
1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
33.3%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-6.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
28 mai 26, 18:3923 juil. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
25 bps hike61%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July
1.0%1mo
+1.0%3%
1%
26%
+2 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total18,8 €
Volume 24h0,7 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
653,6 €No Change: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
210,3 €No Change: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in June
149,1 €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
21,7 €Increase: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of England rate decision in June
0,5 €Maintain current rate: 94%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto News
Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto News
Bitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraph
Can the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto News
Bitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up Cointelegraph
U.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskRègles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).