KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hike 1-25bps 47.2%-17.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidité
413,8 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
16.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 42 minutes
4 août 26, 2:007 oct. 26, 4:29
Tendances
Règles
If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of the named outcome at the October Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Marchés ouverts
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 067.9%
- H 25-1.0pt24.5%
- C 25-1.0pt2.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11,8 k €
POLYMARKETReserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- 25 bps increase+20.6pt48%
- No change-25.0pt44%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt98%
- No change+0.3pt2%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts-24.0pt44%
- 7 or more cuts18%
- Exactly 6 cuts+6.0pt16%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 79,3 k €
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps-3.0pt93.2%
- Maintain current rate+2.0pt2.9%
- Cut more than 25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,6 k €
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt79.1%
- Maintain current rate+10.0pt18.2%
- Hike more than 25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Korea decision in November?
- Bank of Korea decision in October?
- Bank of Japan Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Sep 2026?
- Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Poland rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October ?
- Kalshi cote Hike 1-25bps à 47% au 31 août 2026.
- Quand Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October sera-t-il résolu ?
- Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October doit être résolu le 7 octobre 2026.
- Comment Reserve Bank of India rate decision in October est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of the named outcome at the October Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.