Probabilité implicite actuelle
Labour Party 39.5%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
15 août 29, 12:00 UTC1 janv. 31, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the the named outcome receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.