Probabilité implicite actuelle
Labour Party 34.8%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
36.0% / 37.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
4 mars 26, 17:511 janv. 31, 0:00
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Labour Party37%
Comparer les plateformes· Labour party
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
5.7 pts3a
37.4%
31.3%
20.2%
+5 résultats de plus
59 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total211,7 k €
Volume 24h23,2 €
KALSHI
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
2a
+1.1pt43%
-1.9pt35.1%
+0.6pt13.7%
+3 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire55 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.