GeminiKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
J.D. Vance 48%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
19 févr. 26, 21:37 UTC10 nov. 28, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill either Rubio or Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Ron DeSantis be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
GeminiLA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Republican nominee?
KalshiRègles
2028 Republican Nominee for President?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named outcome wins and formally accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. President.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official Republican Party convention records, public confirmations by the Republican Party, or news sources reporting on either.
- If the named outcome wins the nomination but declines or does not accept it, this market will resolve to “No.” Any replacement of the Republican nominee after acceptance will not affect the resolution of this market.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions]()
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 24%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028? · JD Vance 47%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 51%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 45%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 45%
- Également disponible sur Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee · JD Vance 46%
- Également disponible sur Myriad — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · JD Vance 81%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee · JVAN 47%
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2028 Republican Nominee for President? ?
- Gemini cote J.D. Vance à 48% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand 2028 Republican Nominee for President? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 2028 Republican Nominee for President? doit être résolu le 10 novembre 2028.
- Comment 2028 Republican Nominee for President? est-il réglé ?
- Gemini règle ce marché comme suit : 2028 Republican Nominee for President?
- Où 2028 Republican Nominee for President? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, PredictIt, Kalshi, Smarkets, Myriad, Robinhood (Rothera).