FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
3,000 or more 99%En tête parmi 4 options
3,000 or more 99%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
32 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
7
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PolymarketWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiIn which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsScrewworm National Emergency declared by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This set of markets predicts the cumulative number of confirmed measles cases in humans in the territory of the United States in 2026, according to the CDC measles case counter, covering cases between January 1, 2026, at 05:00 UTC (12:00 AM ET) and January 1, 2027, at 04:59 UTC (11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026).
- Each of the markets below covers one cumulative threshold; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes" (reaching a higher threshold also resolves all lower thresholds to "Yes").
- A market resolves to "Yes" if the CDC counter reports a cumulative 2026 total at or above the market's threshold.
- A market resolves to "Yes" at the first moment the CDC counter reports a cumulative 2026 total at or above its threshold; that resolution is final and is not affected by subsequent downward revisions.
- Markets whose thresholds have not been reached resolve to "No" based on the CDC counter value as of the deadline.
- Only cases reported by the CDC measles counter qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.