Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellex ≥ 250 100%En tête parmi 20 options
Prévisionnistes
57
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète28 déc. 25, 13:01 UTC31 janv. 27, 12:42 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2027
Manifold MarketsWill AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kansas City Missouri have a population of over 550 thousand people in 2030 as reported by the US Census?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiRègles
How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?
- If the number of cases x is equal to or greater than the number listed in an option as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES.
- Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO.
- The market will resolve at the end of January 2027 to allow for lag in reporting.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? · ↑1k 100%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Measles cases in 2026? · Above 3000 99%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · 3,000 or more 99%