Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 67%
Non 67%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1,2 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
3
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
This market resolves on whether the Antarctic ozone hole is larger in 2027 than in 2026, measured by NASA Ozone Watch's mean ozone hole area for September 7 to October 13 of each year.
- The ozone layer reaches its seasonal low in this window, and NASA typically posts the season's statistics shortly after it ends.
- FULL DETAILS
- If the mean Southern Hemisphere ozone hole area for the September 7 to October 13, 2027 period, as published by NASA Ozone Watch in its annual ozone hole statistics, is larger than the same mean for September 7 to October 13, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Only these two seasonal means count; daily values, single-day maximums and other periods are not taken into account.
- The Primary Designated Source is NASA Goddard's Ozone Watch annual data table (ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov/statistics/annual_data.html).