PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31 100%+2.8ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
41 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,3 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+51.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 48 días
Desactualizado10 mar 26, 3:1931 may 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
December 31100%
May 310%
March 310%
April 300%
September 30100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Maliivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (47.920810° N, 36.618600° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.