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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyUS Politics18d
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 3%
Calidad del mercado

40 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

11,5 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

2.0% / 3.5%

Spread

75.0%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-1.3%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

17 dic 25, 21:1230 jun 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes3%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
  • A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
  • A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.