PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%+0.8pt
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
88,7 €
Liquidez
4,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.7% / 6.9%
Spread
4.2 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
16 sept 26, 21:49 UTC8 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
PolymarketWill either Trump or Xi explicitly mention Taiwan during the upcoming summit?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and China announce an AI incident notification mechanism at the Trump–Xi summit?
Manifold MarketsSeptember 2026 Trump-Xi Summit props (add options)
Manifold MarketsHow long will Trump and Xi shake hands?
PolymarketTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?
PolymarketReglas
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hug at any point during this summit.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Video or photographic evidence of the hug must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
- A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
- Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-6.0pt49.5%
- No change+5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 755,3 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 586,9 mil €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Volumen total
- 29,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 427,4 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.9%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+3.4pt100%
- October 31+2.8pt100%
- December 31+2.0pt100%
+3 resultados más
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit??
- Está previsto que Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? se resuelva el 8 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.