PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
↑ 6.50% 100%+13.4ptLíder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
15,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+11.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
3 feb 26, 18:55 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
- This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published.
- If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
- Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final.
Mercados abiertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,2 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 543,5 mil €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 44,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza ↑ 6.50% al 100% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.