PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: September 30
Resuelto: 23 jul 2026, 23:39
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 23 jul 2026, 23:40 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Probabilidad implícita actual
September 30 100%+2.3ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+75.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 39 días
Desactualizado10 mar 26, 3:1730 sept 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
September 3098%
May 310%
June 300%
March 310%
April 300%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Svitle, Donetsk Oblast, (48.403602° N, 37.117327° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.