PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoLiquidado por el proveedor, mercado por mercado
Resuelto: 1 sept 2026, 23:53
Este evento no tiene un único ganador. El proveedor liquidó cada mercado por separado; cada mercado muestra su propio resultado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 2 sept 2026, 13:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
September 30100%
September 30Ganada
October 31Ganada
May 31Perdida
July 31Perdida
February 28Perdida
March 31Perdida
April 30Perdida
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.