Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
3.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónPolítica de EE. UU.Elecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20269d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
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Referencia guardada
No 82.2%
No 82.2%Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
43,5 €
Liquidez
10,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
262,8 US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
1 sept 26, 16:20 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No
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PredictItReglas
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any federal or statewide election held on November 3 has a margin of victory of 0.01% or less.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate or option will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- In the midterms, a federal election is an election to either the United States Senate or House of Representatives (including non-voting seats), and a statewide election is any election, excluding ballot measures, which is on the ballot for all voting individuals within one of the fifty United States.
