Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónAmérica Latina2d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 77.2%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
29 ene 26, 15:47 UTC27 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- The Brazilian presidential election will be held on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if the United States government issues an official congratulatory statement or message to Brazil's election winner within 24 hours of the winner being determined (either after the first round on October 4 or after a potential runoff on October 25).
- Resolution should be based on official statements from the U.S. State Department, White House, or the sitting U.S. President.
- The statement must explicitly congratulate the winner on their electoral victory.
- Considerations