How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónUS Politics4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual51 18.5%+0.1ptLíder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
45
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado2 abr 25, 0:164 ene 27, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
