How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20263m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
At least 54 · —
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Precio guardado
At least 54 56%Líder entre 13 opciones
At least 54 56%Calidad del mercado
38 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
59,2 €
Interés abierto
66,4 US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
At least 54Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
2 nov 26, 6:00 UTC1 feb 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · At least 54
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiWill the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the Democratic Party holds at least 54 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:United States Congress
- Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2026 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party.
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least 54
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 54 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 55 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 46 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 47
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 47 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 48 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 49
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 49 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 50 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 51
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 51 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 52 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 53
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 53 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 56 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 57
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 57 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58
- If the Democratic Party holds at least 58 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 3, 2026, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
