PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Brad Smith
Resuelto: 12 ago 2026, 22:33
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 12 ago 2026, 22:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Brad Smith 100%+13.5ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
47 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+17.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 días
Desactualizado20 jul 26, 22:0211 ago 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Brad Smith100%
Amanda Bell0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate C0%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
