Probabilidad implícita actual
Very strong 49.5%-10.5ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Very strong 49.5%-10.5ptCalidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,2 mil €
Liquidez
3,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
5 oct 26, 21:18 UTC21 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Koguma.
- Peak intensity means the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) assigns to Koguma in an analysis published for the storm.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- If JMA never assigns Koguma an intensity class, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- JMA's own bounds: "the named outcome" is under 33 m/s (64 kt), "Strong" is 33 to 44 m/s (64 to 85 kt), "the named outcome" is 44 to 54 m/s (85 to 105 kt), and "Violent" is 54 m/s (105 kt) or more.
- JMA states the intensity class in the "Intensity" field of each analysis it publishes for the storm, alongside the storm's "Grade", and assigns an intensity class only to a cyclone it grades "TY".