PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 60.4%-6.5pt
Calidad del mercado
35 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
45,4 €
Liquidez
882,3 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
47.0% / 74.0%
Spread
27.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
24 ago 26, 23:13 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PolymarketWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
- If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 96,6 mil €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US bank failure by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza Yes al 60% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US bank failure by December 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que US bank failure by December 31, 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US bank failure by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").