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  • Inicio
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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope2m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 8%
Calidad del mercado

52 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

735,3 €

Liquidez

12,2 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

7.0% / 9.0%

Spread

28.6%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

19 jun 26, 1:1731 ago 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes8%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).