Trump declares election interference national emergency by which date?
One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 18%
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,6 €
Liquidez
8,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
16
Cambio 7d
+1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
26 feb 26, 21:31 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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0%
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.).
- The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency.
- Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
- Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.