Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffEntretenimientoUS PoliticsElecciónLatin America1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.4%
Pronosticadores
144
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado19 ago 26, 15:17 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump, in his capacity as President of the United States, officially declares a new national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. 1601 et seq.) on or before November 3, 2026 (11:59 PM EST).
- Source of Truth: The declaration must be officially published as a Presidential Proclamation or Executive Order on the Federal Register (federalregister.gov) or the official White House website (whitehouse.gov).
- Exclusions: This market requires a newly declared national emergency.
- The continuation, extension, or modification of existing national emergencies (such as the January 2025 emergency regarding energy and critical minerals) will not qualify.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 72% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms??
- Está previsto que Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? se resuelva el 2 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.