Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
PolíticaMonthlyPolítica de EE. UU.ClimaElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20268d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.1%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
29 ago 26, 20:36 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will France declare a state of emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill a high-level Trump admin member mention Zizians before 2027?
Manifold MarketsTrump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?
PolymarketTrump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?
Manifold MarketsFrance declares state of emergency by which date?
PolymarketReglas
The water cuts a
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before November 3, 2026 (the date of the U.S. midterm elections), both of the following conditions are met:
- Inoperable Reservoirs: The water level of either Lake Powell drops below 3,490 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Glen Canyon Dam) or Lake Mead drops below 950 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Hoover Dam), as recorded by the official U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR).
- Federal Emergency Declaration: President Donald Trump (or the Trump administration) formally issues a federal declaration of emergency (under the Stafford Act, National Emergencies Act, or another applicable federal statute) specifically citing the critical water levels, drought, or dam/power inoperability along the Colorado River basin.
- If both of these conditions are not officially met on or before November 3, 2026, the market will resolve to NO.