Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
PolíticaQuarterlyUS PoliticsWeather1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 76%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado29 ago 26, 20:36 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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The water cuts a
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before November 3, 2026 (the date of the U.S. midterm elections), both of the following conditions are met:
- Inoperable Reservoirs: The water level of either Lake Powell drops below 3,490 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Glen Canyon Dam) or Lake Mead drops below 950 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Hoover Dam), as recorded by the official U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR).
- Federal Emergency Declaration: President Donald Trump (or the Trump administration) formally issues a federal declaration of emergency (under the Stafford Act, National Emergencies Act, or another applicable federal statute) specifically citing the critical water levels, drought, or dam/power inoperability along the Colorado River basin.
- If both of these conditions are not officially met on or before November 3, 2026, the market will resolve to NO.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms??
- Está previsto que Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? se resuelva el 2 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The water cuts a