KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 42.9%Líder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
41 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
480,4 €
Liquidez
969,2 €
Baja liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
28 ago 26, 16:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump declare a national emergency??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 43% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump declare a national emergency??
- Está previsto que Will Trump declare a national emergency? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump declare a national emergency??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Trump declare a national emergency??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en PredictIt.