PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: 38.5–38.9
Resuelto: 23 oct 2026, 23:02
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 24 oct 2026, 20:22 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
39.0–39.40%
38.5–38.9100%
37.5–37.90%
38.0–38.428%
39.5+0%
<37.50%
38.5–38.9Ganada
Antes del cierre: 100% ·
37.5–37.9Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
38.0–38.4Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
39.0–39.4Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
39.5+Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
<37.5Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 23, 2026.
- This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date.
- Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below.
- Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
- Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.